Polymarket Introduces Earnings Contracts for Retail Investors

Polymarket has launched a new category of prediction contracts allowing users to wager on corporate earnings outcomes. The platform now offers binary options on whether companies like Costco, Micron Tech, or CarMax will surpass Wall Street's quarterly EPS estimates—with current pricing suggesting a 79% implied probability for Costco beating expectations.

This product taps into the growing retail investor trend of social media-driven market speculation. Unlike traditional equity or derivatives trading, Polymarket's contracts offer simplified exposure: a $100 'yes' bet on Costco WOULD yield $21 profit if correct, while a 'no' position could return $78 for accurate bearish predictions.

The contracts use Bloomberg consensus data as their benchmark, creating a novel bridge between decentralized prediction markets and mainstream financial analytics. No cryptocurrency pairs or exchange integrations are mentioned in this rollout.